Apple Early Warning System (EWS) — Public Demo

This is a demo early-warning dashboard using historical data to illustrate how MIC monitors instability regimes. It will automatically transition to Live when the new apple marketing season data enters the pipeline.

What does an “Alert” mean?
• Shock = abnormal week-to-week change
• Volatility breakout = unusually high 4-week variability
• Drawdown = sustained decline from a recent peak

EWS Summary Dashboard (Top Segments)

This table summarizes early-warning status by market–grade segment.
Alert Rate = % of weeks flagged historically (shock/vol/drawdown).

Market	Variety	Grade	Last Week	Last Price (₹)	Current Level	Alert Rate	Vol p90 (%)	DD p90	Plot
Aglar	Delicious	A	2024-12-30	56.25	Normal	57.58%	17.35	0.32	Open
Aglar	Kullu Delicious	A	2024-12-09	68.75	Normal	57.03%	20.00	0.24	Open
Azadpur	American	A	2025-01-27	64.38	Normal	53.51%	20.93	0.28	Open
Aglar	American	B	2024-11-25	31.25	Normal	53.25%	37.45	0.40	Open
Aglar	Kullu Delicious	B	2024-12-09	37.50	Normal	48.44%	17.86	0.36	Open
Aglar	American	A	2024-11-25	50.00	Normal	42.86%	20.69	0.34	Open
Nowpora	Delicious	B	2025-02-24	50.00	Normal	39.09%	21.91	0.39	Open
Azadpur	Delicious	A	2025-03-24	66.90	Normal	33.43%	19.05	0.31	Open
Narwal	Delicious	NoGrade	2025-02-24	110.00	Normal	22.30%	27.36	0.45	Open
Nowpora	American	B	2025-02-24	43.75	Watch	49.49%	23.12	0.30	Open
Azadpur	American	B	2025-01-27	44.38	Watch	49.12%	23.58	0.44	Open
Aglar	Delicious	B	2024-12-30	25.00	Watch	48.85%	18.45	0.36	Open
Nowpora	American	A	2025-02-24	56.25	Watch	48.82%	14.22	0.25	Open
Azadpur	Delicious	B	2025-03-24	47.80	Watch	48.22%	24.17	0.39	Open
Nowpora	Delicious	A	2025-02-24	60.94	Watch	44.30%	12.90	0.27	Open

Highlighted Segments (Top Alert Rates)

Aglar | A

Current status: Normal • Last price: ₹56.25 • Alert rate: 57.58%
Open full interactive plot →

Aglar | A

Current status: Normal • Last price: ₹68.75 • Alert rate: 57.03%
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Azadpur | A

Current status: Normal • Last price: ₹64.38 • Alert rate: 53.51%
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Aglar | B

Current status: Normal • Last price: ₹31.25 • Alert rate: 53.25%
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Nowpora | B

Current status: Watch • Last price: ₹43.75 • Alert rate: 49.49%
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Azadpur | B

Current status: Watch • Last price: ₹44.38 • Alert rate: 49.12%
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Aglar | B

Current status: Watch • Last price: ₹25.00 • Alert rate: 48.85%
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Nowpora | A

Current status: Watch • Last price: ₹56.25 • Alert rate: 48.82%
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