Draft – Internal Use
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Market Intelligence Cell (MIC)
Cherry EWS (Public Demo)

Cherry Early Warning System (EWS) — Public Demo

This is a demo early-warning dashboard using historical data to illustrate how MIC monitors instability regimes. It will automatically transition to Live when the new cherry season data begins (May/June).

What does an “Alert” mean?
Shock = abnormal week-to-week change
Volatility breakout = unusually high 4-week variability
Drawdown = sustained decline from a recent peak

EWS Summary Dashboard (Top Segments)

This table summarizes early-warning status by market–grade segment.
Alert Rate = % of weeks flagged historically (shock/vol/drawdown).

Market Grade Last Week Last Price (₹) Current Level Alert Rate Vol p90 (%) DD p90 Plot
Aglar Small 2025-06-30 55.00 Normal 38.42% 30.00 0.54 Open
Aglar Medium 2025-06-30 80.00 Normal 38.14% 27.94 0.50 Open
Aglar Large 2025-06-30 110.00 Normal 36.72% 23.08 0.45 Open
Azadpur Super 2025-06-30 170.00 Normal 33.19% 13.02 0.24 Open
Parimpore Small 2025-06-30 100.00 Normal 32.69% 28.06 0.38 Open
Parimpore Large 2025-06-30 140.00 Normal 31.87% 18.68 0.40 Open
Azadpur Special 2025-06-30 120.00 Normal 31.66% 20.21 0.30 Open
Narwal Jammu (F&V) Medium 2025-07-15 140.00 Normal 31.65% 23.50 0.38 Open
Narwal Jammu (F&V) Large 2025-07-15 165.00 Normal 31.13% 16.67 0.31 Open
Parimpore Medium 2025-06-30 120.00 Normal 30.49% 26.19 0.40 Open
Azadpur Fancy 2025-06-30 95.00 Normal 30.13% 20.82 0.32 Open
Narwal Jammu (F&V) Small 2025-07-15 110.00 Normal 29.91% 25.00 0.50 Open
Ganderbal Medium 2025-06-28 70.00 Normal 23.10% 40.33 0.40 Open
Ganderbal Small 2025-06-28 60.00 Normal 22.49% 34.61 0.38 Open
Ganderbal Large 2025-06-28 125.00 Normal 18.24% 30.96 0.34 Open

Highlighted Segments (Top Alert Rates)

Aglar | Small

Current status: Normal  •  Last price: ₹55.00  •  Alert rate: 38.42%
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Aglar | Medium

Current status: Normal  •  Last price: ₹80.00  •  Alert rate: 38.14%
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Aglar | Large

Current status: Normal  •  Last price: ₹110.00  •  Alert rate: 36.72%
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Azadpur | Super

Current status: Normal  •  Last price: ₹170.00  •  Alert rate: 33.19%
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Parimpore | Small

Current status: Normal  •  Last price: ₹100.00  •  Alert rate: 32.69%
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Parimpore | Large

Current status: Normal  •  Last price: ₹140.00  •  Alert rate: 31.87%
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Azadpur | Special

Current status: Normal  •  Last price: ₹120.00  •  Alert rate: 31.66%
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Narwal Jammu (F&V) | Medium

Current status: Normal  •  Last price: ₹140.00  •  Alert rate: 31.65%
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